3 Comments
User's avatar
Brandon Tew's avatar

Noticed the Sugano random number generator move after his start early in the season against the Royals and love that you called it out!

After watching him for awhile in Japan he might just do enough to be a sub 3.50 ERA guy. I’m with you though the only thing that is really going for him is his superb command. So as much as I like him he’s gonna basically be an anomaly if he does.

He’s just ultra-aggressive in zone and doesn’t give the same look twice unless he notices a sequence is really working. Interested to see if he zags soon and throws a bunch of splitters or sweepers in a start the randomness is really cool though! Good shout out!

Expand full comment
Lance Brozdowski's avatar

Yeah, I would be pretty surprised if he can hang at a 3.50. Just so much reliance on batted ball luck there. I would peg him around 4.25-4.50. Do we have a precedent of SPs sub 4.00 with a <10% K rate? lol

Expand full comment
Brandon Tew's avatar

He reminds me of Greinke and in 2022 Zack he had a 12.5 K% and had a 3.68. I can’t think of anyone with a < 10% K rate though would be unprecedented for sure!

Expand full comment